1. **Middle East conflict escalates**: US launches "Project Freedom" to guide ships through Strait of Hormuz; Iran attacks UAE. Oil surges: WTI hits $106.42/bbl, Brent $114.44/bbl.
2. **Gold retreats after spike**: Spot gold briefly touched $4,627/oz, then fell below $4,550 as the US dollar and Treasury yields rose.
3. **Fed remains hawkish on hold**: NY Fed Williams says policy is "well positioned." Markets see 92.8% probability of no rate change in June, with only ~15% chance of a cut in 2026.
4. **China-US economic talks show positive signals**: He Lifeng holds video call with US Treasury Secretary and Trade Representative; both sides agree to continue consultation mechanisms.
5. **US-EU tariff friction persists**: Trump plans to raise EU car tariffs to 25%; German auto industry faces €15–30 billion in losses.
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