🚨 Less Than 15% of Bitcoin Remains on Exchanges — Supply Shock Ahead?

Exchange and OTC reserves hit seven-year lows, hinting at a looming supply crisis as institutional demand surges.

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📉 Exchange Supply Plummets to Historic Lows

For the first time since August 2018, Bitcoin's on‑exchange supply has sunk to just 14.5% of the total circulating supply, according to Glassnode. This dramatic drawdown points toward a potential “supply shock”, where strong demand meets increasingly scarce liquid BTC.

🏦 OTC Balances Also Drying Up

Coinciding with shrinking exchange reserves, over-the-counter (OTC) balances have reached record lows. CryptoQuant reports a 21% decline since January, with reserves now just 155,472 BTC. This tight supply on both public and private trading channels could accelerate price moves as buyers scramble to acquire BTC.

💡 Why This Matters

  • Depleted liquidity means fewer coins are readily available for sale
  • Whale accumulation indicates long-term confidence and lower selling pressure
  • Spot ETF inflows—more than $4.7 billion over 15 days—underline institutional demand binance.com+9cointelegraph.com+9legalesedecoder.com+9

These trends set the stage for a potential price surge if BTC remains above $100,000—the critical psychological threshold.

📊 BTC Holding Strong Above $100K

Despite a brief 2.85% dip, Bitcoin has maintained its position above $100K support, thanks to inflows and long-term investor confidence. Analysts warn, however, that dropping below this level could trigger massive liquidations—over $6.4 billion in leveraged long positions could be wiped out

📈 What’s Next?

If current conditions hold, a supply crunch may unleash a powerful rally. Some analysts forecast BTC reaching $140K–$200K+ during 2025’s bull market. The key now is sustaining momentum above $100K and watching how inflows continue to shape liquidity dynamics.

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